An overview of California’s ongoing and extraordinary drought: a tale of exceptional dryness and record warmth

Filed in Uncategorized by on July 20, 2014 654 Comments

Event narrative

Droughts historically have a way of sneaking up on California, and the extraordinary 2012-2014 drought has been no exception.

California precipitation during 2013 was by far the lowest on record. (NOAA/NCDC)

Year-to-year and even season-to-season rainfall variability is quite high in this part of the world, which means that it’s nearly impossible to know whether a single dry year (or season) portends the beginning of a much more prolonged or intense dry period. Indeed–the 2012-2013 rainy season had an extremely wet start–so wet, in fact, that an additional large storm during December 2012 would likely have led to serious and widespread flooding throughout Northern California. But no additional significant storms did occur during December 2012–nor during January 2013…nor February, March, April, or May. In fact, January-June 2013 was the driest start to the calendar year  on record for the state of California in at least 118 years of record keeping. Some parts of the state saw virtually no precipitation at all during this period, which made for an especially stark contrast with the extremely wet conditions experienced just a few months earlier.

 

The role of the Ridiculously Resilient Ridge

How did this drastic change occur so quickly? The second half of the 2012-2013 Water Year saw the development of the now infamous Ridiculously Resilient Ridge (or RRR)–an extraordinarily persistent region of high pressure over the northeastern Pacific Ocean in the middle atmosphere that forced the mid-latitude storm track well to the north of its typical position and prevented winter storms from reaching California.

The Ridiculously Resilient Ridge in 2013. (NCEP/ESRL)

The Ridiculously Resilient Ridge in 2013. (NCEP/ESRL)

While the RRR did become less prominent during the summer months of 2013, it returned with even greater intensity  by the fall. In fact, by November 2013, the RRR resulted in such an anomalous high-amplitude flow pattern that much of Alaska–even regions north of the Arctic Circle–experienced record warmth and precipitation, which led to several high impact weather events (including ice storms and enormous avalanches). In California, meanwhile, the precipitation spigot remained tightly closed as Pacific storms rode thousands of miles to the north of where they typically would have been. Most of these winter storms missed even Oregon and Washington, triggering a drought that is now being experienced rather acutely in these regions in the form of massive, nearly uncontrollable wildfires this summer. In California, conditions during January were so warm and dry that wildfires broke out in the far north in the dead of winter–an essentially unprecedented event in this region.

 

Temporary mid-winter relief

By the beginning of February, the RRR began to lose some of its intensity (and, more importantly, much of its seemingly indomitable persistence). A major pattern change did finally allow a series of significant storm systems to affect much of California, including a fairly impressive atmospheric river event (which affected a relatively narrow region just north of the Bay Area) and a strong winter cyclone (which affected much of Southern California later in the winter).

A beautifully well-defined winter storm brought significant precipitation to Southern California late in the winter. (NOAA)

A beautifully well-defined winter storm brought significant precipitation to Southern California late in the winter. (NOAA)

There were a couple of additional minor precipitation episodes in addition to these, but for the most part, California saw nearly all of its precipitation during Winter 2013-2014 over the course of these two storm systems. So while winter 2013-2014 ultimately came in as “merely” the third driest in the past 118 years, it immediately followed what was (by far) the driest calendar year on record in 2013. And, as it turns out, 2012 was also drier than average on a statewide basis (though not nearly as dry as 2013 or 2014). Thus, the present event now includes 3 successive dry years, and includes the driest year in over 100 years (and perhaps since California’s statehood).

 

Into the frying pan

As California’s long-term precipitation deficits have skyrocketed over the past 18-24 months, another dramatic trend has become increasingly apparent: an extraordinary string of record-warm days, months, and multi-month periods. Most notably, California experienced its record warmest winter in 2013-2014, and (as of June 30th) is currently experiencing its warmest year on record to date. Even more remarkable is that these recent temperature record have been broken by a very wide margin–2014 so far has been more than 1 degree warmer than the previous record warmest year. This record-shattering warmth has serious implications for the ongoing extreme drought, since warmer temperatures result in greater evaporation (and evapotranspiration). This means that an even lesser fraction of the already record or near-record low precipitation was actually available to plants and ecosystems–or as rain/snowmelt runoff into California California’s rivers and streams.

California is experiencing its record warmest year to date as of June 2014. (NOAA/NCDC)

California is experiencing its record warmest year to date as of June 2014. (NOAA/NCDC)

 

Just how severe is the ongoing drought in California?

This combination of exceptional dryness and record warmth have acted in combination to produce the most severe drought conditions experienced in California in living memory (and very probably over a century). The Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) is an aggregate metric of long-term (meteorological) drought severity–which takes into account observed precipitation, temperature, and soil moisture–and is widely used to characterize the intensity of drought conditions. The PDSI is a normalized metric, with a scale ranging form +6 (wet) to -6 (dry), and any value lower than -4 is considered to correspond to extreme drought. At the present time, a large fraction of California is experiencing literally chart-topping PDSI values less than -6. These values–both regionally and on a statewide average basis–are higher than at any other point since at least 1895, according to the latest NCDC rankings. From these data, it’s entirely reasonable to assert that the present drought is already more intense than any 20th Century drought in California.

Another interesting aspect of the present drought is to note the temporal structure of the large positive temperature anomalies California has been experiencing recently.

Daily maximum temperatures in 2014 have been higher than any other year on record. (NOAA/NCDC)

Daily maximum temperatures in 2014 have been higher than any other year on record. (NOAA/NCDC)

Daily minimum temperatures in 2014 have been higher than any previous year on record, though not by as wide a margin as daily maxima. (NOAA/NCDC)

Daily minimum temperatures in 2014 have been higher than any previous year on record, though not by as wide a margin as daily maxima. (NOAA/NCDC)

One of the most striking features in California’s temperature record is the presence of a distinct long-term trend, on the order of +0.2 degrees per decade since the late 1800s. This trend is present in overall temperature, daily maximum temperature, and daily minimum temperature, but the increase has been largest in daily maximum temperatures, which have increased by over 1.4 degrees F since 1895. Interestingly, the temperature anomalies in 2014 have closely mirrored this overall trend, with all-time records set for both daily minimum and daily maximum values but much larger anomalies occurring with daytime maximum temperatures.

A long-term trend also exists in PDSI values for California, which has trended toward lower values over the past century or so. Interestingly, there have been no statistically significant trends in California mean precipitation over this same interval, which suggests that the strong warming experienced in California is likely responsible for the increasing drought severity. I’ll have a more extensive post on the role of climate change in the current California drought (and the RRR pattern) later this year.

Recent PDSI values are the lowest on record for California. (NOAA/NCDC)

Recent PDSI values are the lowest on record for California. (NOAA/NCDC)

 

Impacts of the extraordinary 2012-2014 California drought: Where we stand now

All 58 California counties have now been designated by the federal government as primary natural disaster areas due to the drought. A state-level Drought Emergency has been declared, and state authorities have recently taken unprecedented measures to cope with dwindling water supplies. National and international media attention has become increasingly focused on this ongoing extreme climate event in California as economic damages to date surpass $2 billion, and continues to rise rapidly. Increasingly broad swathes of farmland are being fallowed in the Central Valley (especially the San Joaquin Valley), and entities with access to remaining water are auctioning off their rights for over ten times the long-term average rate. Groundwater pumping has increased exponentially over the past 12 months, and there are growing concerns that this virtually unregulated draining of California’s underground aquifers could have major major consequences within the next couple of years.

Just how low are California’s reservoirs right now? The figure at right shows that most of California’s major reservoirs are below 50% of capacity, and some are well below that meager level. More importantly, many of these reservoirs are near or below 50% of average capacity to date–which is especially remarkable since water levels are typically well below maximum capacity by this point in the summer. One big problem over the next few months is that the extreme long-term dryness–combined with enhanced human and “natural” demand due to record warmth–will allow reservoir levels to drop at rates greater than the long-term mean.

Current reservoir levels in California are low and dropping rapidly. (CA DWR)

Current reservoir levels in California are low and dropping rapidly. (CA DWR)

While last winter’s brief but intense precipitation during February and March prevented California’s reservoir levels from being catastrophically low this summer, many may start approaching record-low levels by October/November 2014. Some small communities in California are at risk of running out of water within the next 3-4 months, but much broader trouble may loom over the next 1-2 years without a series of wet to very wet winters helping to bolster supplies. Even Lake Mead–which is filled by the flows of the Colorado River and is a critical water source for much of Southern California–has dropped to record-low levels as of July 2014 (though it should be noted that these low levels are actually due to a much broader and longer-term drought across the American Southwest).

California’s wildfire season has gotten off to a rather ominous start, beginning with the off-season Northern California fires in January, followed by the destructive San Diego-area fires driven by unusually strong Santa Ana winds in May, and has recently continued with unusually intensely-burning fires in Northern and Central California despite the relative lack of extreme weather conditions usually required to sustain such extreme fire behavior.

Fuel moistures and energy release components (ERCs) in vegetation are near or exceeding record levels (the Mid-Coast region is shown here as a representative example). (NorCal GACC)

Fuel moistures and energy release components (ERCs) in vegetation are near or exceeding record levels (the Mid-Coast region is shown here as a representative example). (NorCal GACC)

In fact, several special fuel and fire behavior advisories have recently been issued for much of California due to record-low fuel moistures and potentially explosive wildfire behavior in the coming months. While there has been a relative lull in fire activity across California in recent weeks, current events in Washington and Oregon likely foreshadow a very severe fire season to come in California. Many in the firefighting community are anxiously awaiting the development of extreme fire weather patterns over the next several months–such as dry lightning outbreaks, extreme heat waves, or strong offshore winds–which nearly always occur in California between August and October.

 

What does the (near) future hold?

The shortest (and, unfortunately, most accurate) answer to this question is: we simply don’t know. The rest of summer will probably continue to be warmer than average, and associated impacts (namely, extreme wildfire conditions and low limited water availability) will continue to grow more acute until that start of the next rainy season during winter 2014-2015. There has been much speculation regarding the likely El Niño event this year and its possible role in alleviating drought conditions in California. I’ve already written extensively on both the development of the present El Niño event specifically and the more general impacts of ENSO upon California precipitation. The quick summary version: connections between California precipitation and El Niño are rather tenuous, except for very strong El Nino events, which are associated with increased cool-season precipitation. This is especially true for inland regions of Northern California, where the majority of California’s reservoirs and “snowpack stored water” capacity resides. While there were some early indications during spring 2013 that the upcoming likely El Niño event could be a very strong event,  a top-tier event now appears less likely.

Therefore, while there was never a high chance of El Niño breaking the current California drought, there is now an even smaller of a chance of that happening. We still don’t know how strong El Niño may be, nor how much precipitation California will experience next winter (regardless of what happens with El Niño). There are some indications in the long-range seasonal forecast models that some substantial precipitation may occur during DJF 2014-2015, but such projections are subject to very high uncertainty (especially in light of the uncertain evolution of conditions in the Eastern Pacific). And–as Mike Dettinger has pointed out–it’s quite likely that California’s drought will persist through next year even if we have a relatively wet winter. While a wet (or even near-average) winter would help alleviate some of the most acute short-term effects of the drought, many parts of California have missed out on nearly a full year’s worth of precipitation, and it will take a long time to gain back that deficit even in a best case scenario.

In the meantime, California’s long, dry summer continues. Stay tuned.

 

© 2014 WEATHER WEST

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6 Pingbacks/Trackbacks

  • geopower

    thunderheads south and east of Reno blowing up and topping out right now.

    • Bandini

      Nice shots! I was in Reno today and at about 3 o’clock or so I saw the same stuff, some very impressive thunderheads.

    • craig matthews

      Those are very nice shots. Thunderstorms were said to have reached 40,000 feet with the jets having to fly around them.

  • geopower

    hitting a cap and spreading

  • alanstorm

    I think a “lightning outbreak for northern Ca” is the worst scenerio possible. “A nightmare in the making” is more like it. Fire crews up here are streatched to the limit. Here in Mendocino County, fire attack planes and choppers are flying over every 20 minutes, most headed for a huge wildfire 30 miles north of me that started from lightning July 30. Huge smoke here.

    • craig matthews

      That really takes the fun out watching an awesome lightning display. The June 21 2008 lightning show was fun to watch, but the next day I was asked to leave my property in Big Sur as the big Basin Complex was heading my way, and that is when reality struck home. The fact that I might not have a home in a short period of time was not fun at all. But what did I expect, living in a heavily forested area where fires are a part of the natural cycle, and I am living in the middle of that natural cycle. Watching a thunderstorm develop and the energy that is in the air is fascinating to me, but its not at all cool to watch peoples homes destroyed by that same thunderstorm. Sorry Alanstorm if I made it sound insensitive in my previous posting “best scenario possible”.

      • alanstorm

        No worries- I’ve been guilty getting all stoked about monster winter storms until people’s homes got flooded! Glad to hear your place didn’t burn (I’m assuming). That must have been quite a stress! I think its inevitable there will be terrible lighting fires this summer, & from the radar, it looks like they’re starting to build over Coast range already. I’ll be watching you & your fellow poster’s posts since this blog seems to be way ahead of the media on what’s going on with the weather. I think tomorrow will be D-Day around here, as Calfire crews are gearing up.

        • craig matthews

          Dan said he might have a new blog post up this weekend, and updates on the tweets are very helpfull. This is definitely the best poster blog to watch for the most updated weather situations.

        • Kamau40

          You’re right this blog is way ahead of the media incl the local weather updates. As I was watching the news last night, the TV meteorologist have no clue that we could have a major lightning out break in Nor. Cal Sun-Mon.

  • lightning10

    We need that NAM to be right or So Cal is going to get shafted.

    • so.cal.storm.lover

      Shafted from what and when?

  • Ian Alan

    Nws flip flopped again for my area LOL – I had tstorms for Sunday through Thursday now it’s only 10% for Tuesday only. Quite often we have our best events when it’s a “surprise” and when there are high pops it’s often disappointing. I think it’s wise to remember these summer monsoon events are rarely widespread and very much in a hit and miss fashion – still wreaks havoc on the anticipation of rain and tstorms!

    • http://www.weatherwest.com/ Weather West

      Yeah–these summer cut-off lows are really hard to forecast. Despite the lack of moisture, this one still has the potential to be interesting, since some pretty good dynamics will be in place. This may not be a huge Bay Area event (though I wouldn’t rule it out), but it still looks quite likely to generate a lot of lightning elsewhere over interior NorCal (and parts of SoCal as well). I’ll still have an update either late tonight or early tomorrow.

    • Kamau40

      Looking at the latest models, the cut-off low will approach the Ca. coast, but will have very limited moisture supply to deal with. This is always a tricky forecast because cut-off lows has a mind of their own. We may or may not see thunderstorm activity, especially due to the fact at present both the GFS/NAM models keep most of the activity North and well to the East of us. Will see if the models changes again over the next couple of days.

  • Xerophobe

    So here’s some news….westerly wind anomalies are like a line of soldiers in formation (further EAST than earlier, too) also the SST anomalies north of the Eq. look good. These pools have been very resistant and are still quite warm if one works through animated map at nullschool, in second image I have located a +4 SSTA and the other warmest areas seem to be all ++3. The kelvin is showing more or less it’s size and warmth as it moves along and makes the thermocline wavy in the third image. It ain’t no biggie like earlier this year, but it doesn’t need to be. Hey what happened to the negative anomalies? It’s possible we could begin to see an atmospheric connection soon. Just my swag and surfing, though.
    Well if the other two images aren’t gonna show up I’ll post em later, I guess.

    • craig matthews

      Thanks for the latest news. These kelvin waves can surprise us at times, with a sudden strengthening/warming of the wave in just a week or 2 as they take shape and move across the equatorial pacific just under the surface. And these westerly wind anomalies further east are good news.
      As we observed in the last major kelvin wave, it suddenly got huge. This one could do the same, albeit probably not extraordinary huge like the last one. The cooling of SST’s in the far western tropical pacific is a good sign as SSTA’s near the dateline remain almost as warm as they did earlier this year. That makes it easier for the atmosphere to adjust into El Nino mode. Updated CPC MJO page shows the westerly wind anomalies from the dateline and points east over the last week have increased and enlarged toward the eastern equatorial pacific. Then we will need those positive feedbacks to sustain what develops in the coming days. But most importantly, I hope this re configures the pacific jet stream so that it slams California with rich storms next winter.

  • David Thomas

    Mode runs are useless with cut off lows we you guys sould no this buy now we have two do this the hard way. We need to wait and see what happens when we enter Sunday two Tuesday. Time line. And see what happens. With are t storms and where they. Fourms the mode runs has been wrong. The last few. Cut off lowes and moonsoon. Events. Will this have two wait and see where this low sets up and see where are best ch will be for t storms for this event.

  • Guest

    From above Brockway Summit today about 5:30, looking south east, Carson City on the other side was getting hammered, plenty of lightning from that vantage point.

  • Bandini

    From above Brockway Summit about 5:30 looking southeast towards Carson City, plenty of lightning from this vantage point.

  • Bandini

    This developed into a nice downpour with lightning right east of town before dark.

    • alanstorm

      Looks like areas north east of you like Lovelock desert mountains got pummeled with rain/t-storms yesterday & today as well. I bet those flash flood washes were full!

  • Ian Alan

    Low Cumulus clouds developing here first thing in the morning – always a good sign.

  • Xerophobe

    More visible news of warm kelvin wave through Aug 6th. Seeing some good progression eastward as well as depth and volume. I’ve posted a link to an animated .gif version ans below is a pic of the last frame.

    http://tinyurl.com/kj5qjuj

  • craig matthews

    This is 12z NAM 700mb height and RH (computer model) forecast for tomorrow afternoon. Looks like some low to mid level moisture might be drawn northward up from socal along a line from HWY 101 east and up into the cut off low off the Sonoma coast. Hasn’t been any mention of this moisture drifting northward out of socal in the NWS AFDs. Right now, looks like all the convection will be from Lake county north along the coast range, but that moisture plume on the NAM model looks interesting, and might produce convection along the diablo range tomorrow afternoon. This is one of those events that are in no way straight forward or predictable.

    • Kamau40

      Do you think some of that moisture will finally make it into the SF Bay Area incl north into Napa, Yountville, Calistoga, Vacaville, and Fairfield county areas?? Interestingly, yesterday evening I did not see the latest moisture surge on either the GFS or NAM models which was forecasting it to remain far to the North and East of the SF Bay Area. Perhaps, we we could still see some action hopefully at some this week.

      • craig matthews

        Dan is going to have an update soon. Right now it looks like mid level moisture is rapidly moving north/northwest over socal and visible satellite reveals some recent developing alto cumulus east of L.A. This mid level moisture could get pulled up through socal and up through interior central California and northwest into the cut off low over the next 24 hours. It is a tough call on where this moisture gradient lines up. But right now it looks like it will move up the Diablo range and get drawn northwest over the north bay. The low center is moving further to the northwest then what the models showed. So models are not quite getting this one pinned down. Tells me we might be in for a surprise.

  • Cachagua1

    This is the strangest summer I have ever seen. First of all, we had fall-like weather from late spring into June, with little in the way of coastal fog. July was more like August and early September with the warm weather and thunderstorms. And now as we are entering our second week of August, the weather is more June-like, with very gloomy weather along the coast and cooler temperatures in the valleys where I live. This summer is coming in backwards in some ways. So does this mean September weather will be more like April? Maybe this means we will see spring like weather in the early fall. This is just a crazy thought.

    • C M

      I would hope this September would be like April 2012; That was the month I saw the best thunderstorm display I have ever seen in San Jose.

    • Dan the Weatherman

      This was certainly a strange spring in Socal as well, especially late April into May, and was certainly more reminiscent of late October / November. At the end of April, we had the strongest Santa Ana wind event that I have ever seen for that time of year, and then a weaker much hotter Santa Ana followed in May. It is rare enough to get ONE Santa Ana event that late in the season, let alone TWO with the strength of the first one rivaling the strength of our strongest fall events. Even though June was much closer to normal temperature-wise, there was a very noticeable lack of the normal “June Gloom” marine layer, especially during the day. The clouds did roll in at night, but they mostly cleared early the next morning and didn’t stick around a good portion of the day as they usually do for at least a few days in June.

  • alanstorm

    Hot South winds have really picked up today & that’s bad news. Red flag fire warning all the way up thru Oregon. Anything could set off disaster. Low & behold cells are popping up in the north and moving westward. No doubt Cal Fire sees it developing. Watch out Siskiyou County!

  • Kamau40

    Here in the Nor. Bay, I am starting to notice and seeing some high and middle level clouds slowly developing from the east and moving westward. This is indicative of the fact that some moisture is starting to wrap around the cut-off low pressure just off shore of the Ca. coast which is currently verified on the latest satellite imagery.

  • http://www.weatherwest.com/ Weather West

    Currently working on an update to be posted this evening. Right now, appears that widespread lightning threat will mostly be confined to areas north and east of the immediate Bay Area (but this likely does include the Central Valley and Mendocino forests). However, given the proximity and strength of the low, I would not be that surprised to see some isolated storms further west and even over water. Update is forthcoming. This event has the potential to cause a serious wildfire siege, given our antecedent record drought and explosive wildfire risk.

    • http://www.weatherwest.com/ Weather West

      Interestingly, a couple of strikes we just recorded in an extremely isolated cell 125 miles northWEST of San Francisco. Case in point!

  • rainscout

    I have been reluctant to post about this subject until I recently saw quite a display near Mt Shasta about 3 weeks ago..so at the risk of becoming a pariah on this blog…maybe I already am…the subject is geoengineering..specifically the chemtrail aspect. What I saw left no dought something is going on…planes flying crossing patterns in the sky with multiple contrails that did not disapate and last as vaporous clouds for many hours..this was on a very clear day with no “natural”clouds in the sky…Dane Wigington has a very alarmimg website site..
    Geoengineering watch.org…after seeing the information on there I am shaking my head ..as if we did not have enough to worry about with this punishing drought and climate change..There was a board of supervisors meeting in Redding..Shasta County a few weeks back and a record 400 people turned out..and all of the speakers seemed to have very alaming credible facts mostly centered around environmental and health issues..but the implications of this climate modification program.. are truely hard to fathom..if anyone feels this is out of bounds on this blog..I will drop it..and I don’t consider myself a wacko conspiracy person.. I try and look at things rationaly as I worked with scientists for 40 years..but this information has me really wondering..

    • xeren

      I would argue that this outside the scope of a weather blog. There are a million conspiracy sites to discuss this stuff on.

      If you want a counterpoint to every argument you can think of just search for whatever conspiracy theory name you want plus the word “debunked”. Please note, this is not an invitation to discuss chemtrails with me.

      • rainscout

        Xeren..I don’t go on a million conspiracy sites..just bloging about a strange anomaly I saw and followed up with a little information gathering.. tryed to put it in a non-confrontational way..but apparently this stuff really touches a nerve..with all due respect..

        • xeren

          You misunderstood me, I’m simply saying there are a million better places to discuss conspiracy theories.

          You are right, it does touch a nerve. There are so many conspiracy theories out there that I’m sick of having to hear about them all, especially chemtrails

    • http://www.weatherwest.com/ Weather West

      Just to comment very briefly on this: all jet aircraft, commercial or otherwise, should be expected to produce exactly the phenomenon you describe under normal operating conditions. The combustion of jet fuel produces water vapor, which immediately condenses and freezes in the dry and cold upper atmosphere. These are visible as man-made contrails. On clear days, distinct contrails are actually more likely than on cloudy ones, since the only source for water vapor is “artificial” (i.e. water vapor from engine exhaust). As for planes flying in gridded patterns: well, that’s a reality of modern aviation, given the movement of the thousands of aircraft aloft at any given time along (thankfully!) organized air corridors.

      Contrails do have a measurable effect on global/regional climate, though it’s pretty small and pales in comparison to other human contributions to the changing climate system. Modern science still doesn’t have the capacity to directly manipulate large-scale climate in a directed fashion to achieve specific aims. Just consider how difficult it is for us to figure out what’s happening with today’s cut-off low!

      I think this is a classic “Occam’s razor” situation: given the existence of a highly plausible, entirely intuitive physical explanation for the phenomena and the total absence of evidence for the extraordinary alternate explanation, it makes the most sense to go with the obvious answer.

      • rainscout

        Thankyou Weather west..I appreciate and understand the jet contrails..but these contrails where not normal..believe me I just found the information after seeing these hours long vaporous trails…but as I said I was reluctant to post because of the contentious nature of the subject..I am not even sure where I stand on the reality of the issue..but I will say that the video of the Shasta county Board of supervisors on the web site did not sound like a bunch of conspiracy theorists…and I have to say that contrary to a ” total lack of evidence”,,there appears to be a “growing body of evidence”…up until 3 weeks ago I would have thought your response the best one..but now I am not so sure…Thanks again for your response and ..lesson learned for me..I really like this forum and as I said I now run the risk of being labeled..a pariah..but my intent was only to see if others on this site have seen these strange contrail paterns and what they thought..now back to reality and lets see if we can get it to rain this coming winter!!……….

        • redlands

          I would like to know more bout this ….

          • rainscout

            redlands.go to Geoengineeringwatch.org…you can get a lot of information there..as I said..you can make up your own mind on the validity…but I know what I saw was not normal plane “contrails”..also I think there is plenty of evidence about the reality of the so called climate modification programs..difficult to dicuss this because so many people think you are a just another conspiracy kook..but I think you will see some pretty crediable people present some very concerning information..but again I am very new to this and of course how much they could affect the climate is highly debatable.. all the same I would love not to believe any of it..certainly the more serious implications.. but..as I said it really has me shaking my head and wondering…..

          • https://www.facebook.com/pages/Mount-Shasta-Energy-Services/305074483863?ref=ts&fref=ts shastatodd
    • alanstorm

      The funding and those involved. with Geoengineering & ionospheric experimentation is quite a valid subject, but right now I put the blame squarely on a huge, stubborn high.pressure ridge in January & a screwed up, wavey jetstream.

      • rainscout

        could not agree more about that RRR and the jet stream has been a virtual no show for 3 years in Calif…

    • https://www.facebook.com/pages/Mount-Shasta-Energy-Services/305074483863?ref=ts&fref=ts shastatodd

      there is no scientific evidence to support the “clouds and jet exhaust are a nefarious government plot” conspiracy theory

      • rainscout

        I respectfully disagree..Why would 400 people waste their time at The Shasta County board meeting..including Vets..pilots..doctors..you can debate the validity of some of the speakers..but I think the evidence that there is a geoengineering program that includes aerial spraying is pretty well documented..and I consider myself a pretty “normal” thinking person..not saying it is a conspiracy but a real ongoing program…and as far as the vinegar and the other de-bunking sites i find those an insult to any thinking persons intelligence..maybe as many as 6-8 planes flying a grided pattern in a remote valley south east of Shasta with horzon to horzon “contrails” that lasted for hours…not normal comercial jet traffic…sorry…so few people seem to care that it is easy to throw all the so-called “kooks” under the bus…

        • https://www.facebook.com/pages/Mount-Shasta-Energy-Services/305074483863?ref=ts&fref=ts shastatodd

          please, this is a SCIENCE page. take your conspiracy nonsense elsewhere.

          • rainscout

            Sorry this has de-volved into this …it is not”my”conspiracy non- sense…but some on this forum do not take kindly to this subject so having already run the risk of being considered a ” kook ” I will post no more…I only responded to defend my integrity as a rational thinking person….as I said in my original post I was not convinced of any of the claims..and in fact I still have an open mind on the subject…no disrespect for your view…I am sure you will be happy to hear me say “Adios”…

  • Zepp

    Lot of thunderheads on all horizons here south of the mountain, and it’s very warm and humid. We might have nearby lightning in the next four hours or so.

    • Xerophobe

      Here’s a screen shot

  • rob b

    Looking at the various Tahoe and Truckee cams (www.tahoetopia.com has great cams) the dark clouds have moved in. Here is the East Bay near Mt. Diablo cloud cover had worked its way west, seems to be hanging around the hills.

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  • Chowpow

    Here’s the cell that popped up south of 80 over the crest.

  • Chowpow

    Here is the cell that popped up south of 80 over the crest. Taken 10 minutes ago

    • craig matthews

      Nice photo! That country reminds me of Scott Flat Lake area off HWY 20. I heard from my buddies up there it was quite a loud event.

  • Sunchaser

    Remarkable warming reported in central California coastal waters …what does all this weird weather mean ????

    http://www.latimes.com/local/lanow/la-me-ln-warming-california-central-coast-20140811-story.html

  • Weatherwatcher

    Seeing big thunderclouds form over east county SD hopefully some of that moisture reaches the coast because we can definitely feel the mugyness.

  • Ted E. Bear

    Excellent summation! Thanx.

  • Henry Westwood

    Been a HIV positive is just like been through hell but EVERYTHING IS POSSIBLE. So amazing and i want to testify of the good work done by GREAT DR a very strong and powerful spell caster. GREAT DR has proved science and scientists wrong for believing and thinking that there is no cure for HIV AIDS but to be sincere this GREAT MAN is so real and powerful. I never thought that this spell will work but this GREAT MAN has proved it to me and it has worked and still working perfectly. My Name is Henry west and i was diagnosed of the deadly disease called HIV AIDS in 2011 and i thought that is the end and there will be no hope. Speaking to anyone was always a problem because i was so worried and always in the state of unrest in fact i thought it was over until one blessed day when i was searching for help here on the internet, i came across a testimony about GREAT DR on how he helped a lady who was HIV positive. At first i thought it was all a lie but i decided to give it a try since there was no option and, when i contacted this MAN he laughed and told me that, that is too small for him to handle but i was still in doubt, and he gave me a form to fill which I did, then he called me and told me that his gods required some items in which he will use in casting a curing spell on me and he told me that it will cost only $500, I sent him the money because I could not find the items. He bought the items and prepared a cure for me, and instructed me on what to do and i OBEYED him completely as he told me. Then he sent a parcel to me through the courier delivery service. I paid for the courier service, I got my parcel, it was a holy water and a pure holy oil as described by GREAT DR. I took the holy water and the holy oil and after taking it, he told me to go for check up but I was still in doubt and was so afraid to go for the test but i took a bold step and believed that it is well, and i believed all what he has done and all that he has told me. So i went to the hospital for the test it was so amazing, awesome and exciting what seems to be impossible became possible, the VIRUS disappeared completely from my system and I was tested HIV negative. Quickly I called him and told him what happened he congratulated me and today i am a happy man again the way things use to be. Don’t you think that this testimony is worth sharing? I promise to tell the world about him and i will keep sharing this testimony till the end because many people has died of AIDS and i want many people who believed that it is over to know that EVERYTHING IS POSSIBLE AND I WANT THEM TO GET HELP FROM THIS SPELL CASTER by contacting him on his email at dr.skhivhomefcure@gmail.com for your solution now. If you are hiv positive and you think that it is over i want to tell you that there is hope for you and if you truly and dearly value your life please contact him now. THIS IS REAL HE IS NOT A SCAM, BELIEVE HIM AND DON’T ASK TOO MUCH QUESTIONS. Thank you GREAT DR and May your good gods keep rewarding you for your good deeds.

  • Shella Staten Morris

    I Never believed i was ever going to be HIV Negative again,Dr Molemen has given me reasons to be happy, i was HIV positive for 2years and all the means i tried for treatment was not helpful to me, but when i came on the Internet i saw great testimony about Dr on how he was able to cure someone from HIV, this person said great things about this man, and advice we contact him for any Disease problem that Dr Molemen can be of help, well i decided to give him a try, he requested for my information which i sent to him, and he told me he was going to prepare for me a healing portion, which he wanted me to take for days, and after which i should go back to the hospital for check up, well after taking all the treatment sent to me by Dr Molemen, i went back to the Hospital for check up, and now i have been confirmed HIV Negative, friends you can reach Dr Molemen on any treatment for any Disease he is the one only i can show you all up to, reach him on (drmolemenspiritualtemple@gmail.com) or call him on +2347036013351

  • Shella Staten Morris

    I Never believed i was ever going to be HIV Negative again,Dr Molemen has given me reasons to be happy, i was HIV positive for 2years and all the means i tried for treatment was not helpful to me, but when i came on the Internet i saw great testimony about Dr on how he was able to cure someone from HIV, this person said great things about this man, and advice we contact him for any Disease problem that Dr Molemen can be of help, well i decided to give him a try, he requested for my information which i sent to him, and he told me he was going to prepare for me a healing portion, which he wanted me to take for days, and after which i should go back to the hospital for check up, well after taking all the treatment sent to me by Dr Molemen, i went back to the Hospital for check up, and now i have been confirmed HIV Negative, friends you can reach Dr Molemen on any treatment for any Disease he is the one only i can show you all up to, reach him on (drmolemenspiritualtemple@gmail.com) or call him on +2347036013351..